CHAPTER 3

Dunning–Kruger at scale.

Every new altitude has its own version of the curve. The trap is mistaking last stage's confidence for this stage's competence.

PROMPT ONE

What part of your current plan is more of what worked versus what this next stage actually requires?

PROMPT TWO

The last time you were confident about a plan that didn't quite land, what was the gap between your confidence and the context you were operating in?

PROMPT THREE

What signals would tell you that you're at the start of a new Dunning–Kruger curve right now, and how would you spot them earlier than you spotted them last time?

PROMPT FOUR

Who in your life can challenge your certainty without you defending it, and how often do they actually get the chance?